Virginia
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 84.5402Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 8, 71.4) 48- 7 906 A NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 83.0) 31-35 913 H Will & Mary 55-16 920 H Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 74.3) 48-20 926 H Florida St ACC ( 5- 7, 79.5) 46-38 1004 A Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 34-27 1018 H Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 22-20 1025 A UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 17-16 1101 A California ACC ( 7- 6, 74.6) 30-21 1108 H Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 9-16 1115 A Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 34-17 1129 H Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 71.0) 27- 7 1206 A Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 20-27 1227 N Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 13- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Coastal Car 48- 7 41 18 0.00
906 A NC St 31-35 -4 -4 -0.30
920 H Stanford 48-20 28 16 0.00
926 H Florida St 46-38 8 10 - -2.31
1004 A Louisville 34-27 7 -2 +++ 9.28
1018 H Wash St 22-20 2 8 -- -5.78
1025 A UNC 17-16 1 5 - -3.82
1101 A California 30-21 9 5 ++ 4.35
1108 H Wake Forest 9-16 -7 11 --- -17.63
1115 A Duke 34-17 17 -2 +++ 15.88
1129 H Va Tech 27- 7 20 19 0.00
1206 A Duke 20-27 -7 -2 -- -5.12
1227 N Missouri 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Wake Forest 9-16 -7 11 --- -17.63 1018 H Wash St 22-20 2 8 -- -5.78 1206 A Duke 20-27 -7 -2 -- -5.12 926 H Florida St 46-38 8 10 - -2.31 1025 A UNC 17-16 1 5 - -3.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A Louisville 34-27 7 -2 +++ 9.28 1115 A Duke 34-17 17 -2 +++ 15.88 1101 A California 30-21 9 5 ++ 4.35 1227 N Missouri 13- 7 6 1 ++ 5.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Coastal Car ( 6- 8, 71.4) 48- 7 -28.49 22.72 -5.26 0.98 34.26
0 A NC St ( 9- 4, 83.0) 31-35 -16.92 34.30 5.26 0.98 -5.72
0 H Stanford ( 4- 8, 74.3) 48-20 -25.61 25.61 -5.26 0.98 39.92
0 H Florida St ( 5- 7, 79.5) 46-38 -20.41 30.81 -5.26 0.98 50.11
0 A Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 34-27 -18.34 32.88 5.26 0.98 74.81
0 H Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 22-20 -17.88 33.34 -5.26 0.98 55.07
0 A UNC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 17-16 -25.43 25.78 5.26 0.98 60.89
0 A California ( 7- 6, 74.6) 30-21 -25.27 25.95 5.26 0.98 61.22
0 H Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 9-16 -20.73 30.49 -5.26 0.98 -12.74
0 A Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 34-17 -18.74 32.48 5.26 0.98 74.02
0 H Va Tech ( 2-10, 71.0) 27- 7 -28.90 22.32 -5.26 0.98 33.46
0 A Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 20-27 -18.74 32.48 5.26 0.98 -6.61
0 N Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 13- 7 -15.90 35.32 -0.00 0.98 69.28
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527.96
|
winning pts = 553.0391 losing points = -25.0742
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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